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Forex Flash: Short-term risk of USD/JPY spike - UBS

FXstreet.com (Córdoba) - USD/JPY rose above 100 last week for the first time since April 2009. "Given the decisive break above the psychological 100 level, we see upside risk of USDJPY testing higher levels in the short term", says the UBS analyst team. "However, we still don't see any fundamentals change to support a clear move higher and therefore would like to stick to our current medium term forecast range of 95-100 at this moment".

"A higher USDJPY range of 100-110 would require fundamental changes such as further easing by the BoJ, aggressive purchasing of foreign securities by Japan's investors for the portfolio rebalancing, or the Fed explicitly signalling to slow its pace of QE program", UBS adds. "At this stage, we do not expect any of these to occur in the coming months".

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