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AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bears seeking a 38.2% Fibo retracement

  • AUD/USD bulls seeking an upside continuation may need to be patient. 
  • The daily chart is offering a bearish formation and eyes are on the prior resistance. 

AUD/USD is on the front foot as the US dollar takes a knock on the Nonfarm Payrolls disappointment. However, the technical outlook argues the case for a correction according to the daily chart. 

The following is a top-down analysis that illustrates the bullish case from a monthly and weekly perspective and the bearish bias from a daily point of view.

Monthly chart

The price has rallied this month so far and is showing prospects of a continuation towards the resistance structure.

Weekly chart

The weekly chart shows a bullish reverse head and shoulders as the price it pressures the neckline.

Daily chart

The daily chart, however, is looking overstretched and the W-formation is a bearish pattern where the price would be expected to test the prior resistance and the confluence of the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.


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