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Gold Price Analysis: Sellers look for entry below 200-bar SMA

  • Gold fails to extend the bounce off 12-day low.
  • The short-term falling trend line exerts downside pressure.
  • Monthly horizontal support could question sellers below 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.

Gold prices remain mildly weak to $1,554.70 ahead of the European session on Thursday. The yellow metal recovered from a multi-day low on Wednesday but failed to extend the pullback beyond a three-day-old resistance line afterward.

Even so, the bears are waiting for entry as the quote stays above 200-bar SMA level of $1,549, a break of which could drag it towards $1,538/36 support-zone.

Should there be additional weakness past-$1,536, December 31, 2019 low near $1,517 and $1,500 will lure the sellers.

Alternatively, an upside clearance of 50% Fibonacci retracement of early-January rise, at $1,564.30 now, can escalate the previous day’s rise towards monthly top surrounding $1,594 and $1,600 round-figure.

Given the bullion’s ability to stay positive above $1,600, the yearly top close to $1,612 could be the buyers’ favorite.

Gold four-hour chart

Trend: Pullback expected

 

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