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Jan 8, 2019
BoC likely to leave the policy rate unchanged - Rabobank
Analysts at Rabobank are expecting the BoC to leave the policy rate unchanged at 1.75% tomorrow as CAD OIS implies almost no chance of either a hike or a cut.
Key Quotes
“This marks a change to our previous call for a 25bp hike.”
“If the Fed moves in March (as is our base case) then there is still a chance we see one final 25bp hike from the Bank of Canada.”
“We would prefer being short USD/CAD and long short-dated OIS heading into this meeting as we still expect the BoC to be more hawkish than the market is currently positioned for despite our change in view.”