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      China: Trade surplus likely to increase to $54.1bn in Nov - TDS

      Analysts at TD Securities suggest that based on their models, and following dire export/import PMIs in recent months, they expect China’s imports and exports to slow sharply, with imports down to 12.3%/y in Nov (consensus 17.8% y/y) from 20.1% y/y in Oct and exports down to 10.3%/y in Nov (consensus 12.6% y/y) from 26.3% y/y in Oct.

      Key Quotes

      “We expect the trade surplus to increase to $54.1bn in Nov from $34.0bn in Oct. There are quirky seasonals at play, so we chose to replicate past years. Soon enough, however, we'll have Chinese New Year distortions, next year falling over 5-6 Feb 2019. As ever the trade surplus with the US will be closely watched.”

      China state media: China should tolerate larger budget deficit - Reuters

      According to reporting by Reuters, Chinese state-run newspaper China Securities Journal is urging the government that tells it what to write to seek t
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      US NFP and OPEC+ meet amongst market movers today – Danske Bank

      Research team at Danske Bank point out that today, we have a numbers of important data releases on both sides of the Atlantic, starting with the US jo
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