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Forex Flash: EUR/USD year-end target at 1.25 – Scotiabank

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The bloc currency continues to scale back its initial gains after hitting fresh highs in the vicinity of 1.2840/45, as fears on Cyprus and the likeliness of a bank run has somehow eased on Thursday.

Camilla Sutton, Chief Currency Strategist at Scotiabank remarks that the recent developments in Cyprus expose the political vulnerability of the euro area in times of financial turmoil, enhanced by the lack of a banking union.

“On the back of recent developments in Europe, we have decreased our already bearish year-end EUR forecast to 1.25. The combination of developments in Cyprus, a revaluation of euro wide deposit risk, a lack of progress on the banking unionwhich is the only solution to ending the negative bank to sovereign feedback loop are all high lighted by what has occurred in Cyprus over the last several weeks”, concludes Sutton.

Forex Flash: Buy USD/SGD on dips – Westpac

The SGD should continue to outperform the EUR but we are skeptical as to how far it will rally against the USD. Indeed, Singapore data has been mixed this week. Inflation spiked higher but IP growth remained disappointing. Core inflation rose to 1.9% from 1.2% previously, which is still well below levels seen in the early part of last year. There is also a sense that inflation pressures should remain on easing trend throughout the rest of this year.
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Forex Flash: US recovery fleeting? – UBS

According to Research Analyst Gareth Berry at UBS, “US growth has been one of the better stories of 2013, however Canadian growth has been generally soft and failing to benefit materially from US 'tailwinds'. Investors seem more partial to the winds blowing south as the peso remains a strong performer.”
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