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NY Fed Survey: Outlook improves for earnings, income, and spending growth

"The latest SCE results show an increase in wage growth expectations and a decline in unemployment expectations," the Federal Reserve Bank of New York announced on Monday.

Key highlights

Median inflation expectations were unchanged at both the three-year (at 2.8%), and the one-year (at 2.6%) horizons.

Median home price change expectations increased from 3.0% in October to 3.3% in November, exceeding its trailing 12-month average of 3.2%. 

Median one-year ahead earnings growth expectations rebounded from 2.1% in October to 2.6% in November, back to its level from July of this year. 

Mean unemployment expectations—or the mean probability that the U.S. unemployment rate will be higher one year from now—retreated from 36.0% in October to 33.7% in November.

Median expected household income growth increased from 2.6% in October to 3.0% in November.

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