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EUR rides high after German GDP - BBH

The euro was already trading firmly before German GDP surprised to the upside and helped lift the single currency through $1.17 for the first time since the ECB meeting in late October, explains the research team at BBH.  

Key Quotes

“The 0.8% quarterly expansion lifted the workday adjusted the year-over-year rate to 2.8% from a revised 2.3% in Q2, which is the fastest in six years.  Italian Q3 GDP growth was also firm at 0.5%, matching its best pace in seven years.  The 1.8% year-over-year pace is also the best since 2011.”  

“Against the dollar, the euro is extending the recovery that began last week from about $1.1555 (the lowest level in four months) and is above the 20-day moving average (~$1.1685).  We see risk toward $1.1745-$1.1760.  We view these euro upticks as corrective in nature and note that the US two-year premium over Germany continues to widen.  It stands near 2.43% now, up 40 bp in the past two months.”  

“The euro was also boosted by cross rate demand after the softer than expected UK and Swedish inflation.” 

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