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USD/CNY: bullish bias (6.3600-6.4100) - BTMU

FXStreet (Guatemala) - Analysts at Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi explained that CNH intervention done ahead of SDR adoption (possibly fearing bids) doesn't appear to have taken.

Key Quotes:

"Post-SDR pledges by Chinese monetary officials seem inconsistent, in that they can't be met without intervention, which remains a risk even though the bias remains to the upside. We had a couple of huge volume days onshore with the daily range at something like 19pips. Mother is on the case.

USD/HKD is back at its floor suggesting capital is still flowing out. November reserves will likely be a fudge because forwards have not been revealed - despite its SDDS pledge, in its first report China refused to reveal foreign liquidity details.

The next set of Chinese exports should show at least that the second derivative is not negative (ie, the decline is not accelerating), but sluggish CPI inflation will continue to connote overcapacity and while lending #s may rise, they don't matter if sums are going out to pay interest."

USD/JPY: large stops below 122.20 - FXStreet

Valeria Bednarik, chief analyst at FXStreet explained that the USD/JPY pair has been unable to settle a clear trend during these last two months, and the market is clearly waiting for the FED before determinate one.
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