OctaFX | OctaFX Forex Broker
Open trading account

US: Data events this week – Danske Bank

FXStreet (Delhi) – Research Team at Danske Bank, suggests that in the US, focus this week will be on PCE inflation figures for October due on Wednesday.

Key Quotes

“In September, PCE core only increased by 0.1 % m/m. Since the service sector is in good shape and we are almost at full employment, we expect wage inflation to continue to increase, implying higher underlying inflation pressure. Note that the CPI core inflation has long been above the PCE core, making room for convergence in the two measures.”

“Due on Tuesday is the second release of Q3 GDP. Consensus is for an upward revision from 1.5 to 2.0 % q/q AR. Positive figures released after the first release speak in favour of an upward revision. Although the economy slowed in Q3, our view is that the economic recovery remains on track.”

“On Wednesday, we will get the durable goods orders for October. Consensus is for a slight increase following the decrease in September of 1.2 % m/m. However, note that durable goods orders are very volatile on a monthly basis. Looking at the recent trend, durable goods orders have more or less been constant over the past two years, reflecting that the manufacturing sector is suffering from the strong USD and the slowdown in manufacturing globally.”

“Preliminary manufacturing PMI for November is due out on Monday. The index rose to 54.1 in October and continued to be well above the manufacturing ISM index, which turned out to be 50.1 in October. The question is whether we will continue to see a gap between the two indicators. Preliminary service PMI for November is due on Wednesday and we expect it to support our view of a service sector in good shape.”

“The Fed’s John Williams (neutral, 2015 voter) is due to discuss monetary policy on Saturday.”

EUR/USD: losses capped by weak European stocks

The weakness in the EUR/USD pair is being restricted around 1.0620 levels amid losses in the stock markets across Europe.
Read more Previous

EUR/USD eyes on 1.04 in the near term – Danske Bank

Senior Analyst at Danske Bank Christin Tuxen sees the pair breaking below 2015 lows and challenging the 1.0400 handle in the near term...
Read more Next
Start livechat