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NZD/USD undergoes corrective process

An upward and over extended market, set against the backdrop of a downtrend may swing the NZD/USD buyer-seller pendulum back towards the bears again.

NZD/USD was in sell mode until a recent move changed the shape of the price structure. The 4hr RSI was on average printing below 50% over the last three weeks and recently broke above the 60% mark. This can be considered overbought territory in the context of a full-fledged bear market. Therefore, the present corrective rally is vulnerable for a turnaround from here.

Further, the 50SMA is still below the 200SMA on 4hr charts. However, should the pair extend its recovery from multi-week lows into a new trend, traders may require a contingency plan in place.

NZD/USD mid-term buyers gaining momentum

NZD/USD mid-term buyers gaining momentum
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SARB hikes rates: Expect a slow tightening cycle – TDS

Today the central bank of South Africa rose the benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 6.25%. According to analysts from TD Securities the tightening cycle should be slow with the next rate hike to take place probably in March.
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