OctaFX | OctaFX Forex Broker
Open trading account
Back

EUR/GBP points to 0.68 in 12-month – Rabobank

FXStreet (Edinburgh) - According to Jane Foley, Senior Currency Strategist at Rabobank, the European cross could head towards the 0.68 level in a year’s time.

Key Quotes

“EUR/GBP plunged around 2% after ECB President Draghi issued a dovish warning on policy in mid-October”.

“Although a spate of weak UK manufacturing and export data combined with concerns about the outlook for global growth have pushed back expectations for the first BoE rate hike of the cycle, further easing from the ECB would ensure that the interest rate differential continues to favour the pound”.

“Currently the money market is not fully priced for the first BoE rate hike of the cycle until early 2017. This is out of kilter with our forecast for a move in August 2016 and contrasts even more so with the consensus of economists’ surveys which favours a rate hike in Q2 2016”.

“Although there is room for some volatility in EUR/GBP as BoE rate hike speculation is fine-tuned, we maintain our long held forecast that EUR/GBP can trend lower towards the 0.68 level on a 12 month view”.

UK services PMI: What to expect of GBP/USD?

The GBP/USD pair is trading above on a positive note ahead of the UK services PMI on account of the selling in the EUR/GBP cross.
Read more Previous

Spain Markit Services PMI came in at 55.9, above forecasts (55.3) in October

Spain Markit Services PMI came in at 55.9, above forecasts (55.3) in October
Read more Next
Start livechat