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EUR/USD sell on rallies – Rabobank

FXStreet (Edinburgh) - Senior Currency Strategist Jane Foley at Rabobank recommends selling the EUR/USD on strength.

Key Quotes

“In recent weeks the market consensus of when the Fed is likely to announce the first rate hike of the cycle has been largely unaltered. The market expects the Fed fund rate to be hiked around the middle of next year – earlier than our estimate of the end of next year”.

“By contrast, expectations regarding the course of ECB policy are in the process of being overhauled”.

“Last Friday’s remarks from ECB President at Jackson Hole have raised the odds of the ECB eventually announced QE. While we expect it is too early to see such a policy change at next week’s meeting, we see some form of intermediate policy action as being possible quite soon; preparations for an ABS purchase program may be complete as early as October”.

“The tone of the ECB committee and its commitment to further policy actions will, of course, be data dependent”.

“We expect EUR/USD to trend towards 1.28 and below medium-term and favour selling EUR/USD on rallies”.

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